Reports from the
1. Derry Allan Office of Policy & Evaluation, EPA, USA
2. Mohsen Bahrami Amir Kabir University (Tehran Node)
3. Henry Cole President, The Futures Group International
4. Tom Crumm Research & Development Center, General Motors Company
5. Sidney Draggan Office of Research and Development, EPA, USA
6. Elizabeth Florescu Administrative Assistant, Millennium Project,
7. Nadezhda Gaponenko Center for Science & Industrial Policy (Moscow Node)
8. Hans J.A. van Ginkel UN Under Secretary General, Rector of the UNU, Tokyo
9. Jerome Glenn Co-Director, Millennium Project,
10. Ted Gordon Co-Director, Millennium Project,
11. Miguel Gutierrez University of Buenos Aires, Argentina (S. American Node)
12. Hazel Henderson Alan F. Kay & Hazel Henderson Found. for Soc. Innovation
13. Zhouying Jin Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (Beijing Node)
14. Ivan Klinec Inst. for Forecasting, Slovak Republic (C. European Node)
15. Hiroko Kosaka Intern, Millennium Project,
16. Ward Lamphere Environmental Scanning, General Motors Company
17. James Leonard Chairman, American Council for the UNU
18. Bruce Lloyd South Bank University (London Node)
19. Anandhavalli Mahadevan Madurai University, India (India Node)
20. John McDonald Institute for Multi-Track Diplomacy and
21. Joanie Newman Intern, Millennium Project,
22. Pavel Novacek Palacky University, Czech Republic (C. European Node)
23. Charles Perrottet Deloitte & Touche/The Futures Group
24. Peter Rzeszotarski Army Environmental Policy Institute, Atlanta, GA
25. Mihai Simai Institute of World Economics, Hungary
26. Michael Stoneking Partner, Deloitte & Touche, Cleveland, OH
27. Norio Yamamoto Counselor, Mitsubishi Research Institute and Exec. Director, Global Infrastructure of Foundation (Tokyo Node)
Monday, 15 February 1999
9:00 Coffee, friendly conversation
9:30 Welcome and Self-Introductions of the Participants
10:15 Goals and Agenda for the Meeting
10:30 Review of the 1998 Accomplishments
10:45 Global Lookout Study
11:30 Global Lookout continues
12:15 Futures Research Methodology CD-ROM
1:00 Global Scenarios (Exploratory and Normative)
1:30 Use of Futures in Policy Formulation
2:00 DRAFT 1999 State of the Future (15 Challenges, Environmental Security, etc.)
2:30 Millennium Symposium at the Great Pyramids in Egypt
2:45 Reports from the Nodes
3:45 Reports from the Nodes (continues)
5:00 Meeting Adjourns
6:00 Dinner - One Washington Circle Hotel
Tuesday, 16 February
9:00 Coffee, friendly conversation
9:30 Reports from the Nodes (continues)
10:30 Web Site, and conferencing among Nodes
11:15 Ways to improve the Project
1:00 Plans for 1999/2000 activities
4:00 Meeting Adjourns
The meeting began at 9:30 February 15, 1999. After the DRAFT of the 1999 State of the Future and the Futures Research Methodology CD-ROM were distributed, Jerry Glenn welcomed everyone, followed by self-introductions of the attendees.
1. Primary Objectives for 1999-2000
1.1 Complete, publish, and promote the 1999 State of the Future.
1.2 Analyze and consolidate the work of 1996-1999 to deepen and improve the analysis, using data already on hand.
1.3 Continue the Global Lookout panel activity. Working with the Millennium Project nodes, the panel will be further extended in size, geography and depth. The panel will be engaged in studies focused on the global challenges identified in the 1999 report.
1.4 Update the Futures Research Methods CD-ROM, distribute it for review and updates, and then publish as a book.
1.5 Complete work on the special study of the uses of early warnings from futures research in policy making.
1.6 Prepare and deliver Millennium Symposia.
1.7 Provide, on request, one half or one day lectures to sponsors.
1.8 Improve the Project's Web site and explore web site licensing.
1.9 Conduct two meetings of the Planning Committee and sponsors to set goals and review progress. The first of these is planned for Washington 28-89 July, 1999 and the second 14-15 February 2000.
1.10 Produce draft of the 2000 State of the Future focusing on new findings, gap closing actions, tracking challenges, updating data, and tracking indicators.
1.11 If grants/contracts are forthcoming from FFF, AEPI, EPA and SOWF, increase the staff size and contribute to these activities as required.
2. If additional funds are secured, the Secondary Objectives are:
2.1 Increase the Nodes' research and activities that further interconnect local and global perspectives such as developing nested scenarios, applying the State of the Future to the regional and local situations, and extend other work of the Project (for example, the Beijing Node will consider initiating an extended study of the "Lessons and Questions from History" with support from the MP staff).
2.2 Deepen analyses connected with possible actions to address the global challenges through smaller working groups of experts.
2.3 Extend the Project's annotated scenario bibliography and scanning activities.
2.4 Pursue means for providing multi-year extended and continuous funding for the Project, including submitting proposals to funding agencies and appropriate foundations.
2.5 Increase educational uses of the Project's materials, including world games and educational units, and lecturing.
2.6 Consider means by which the results of the project can be more effectively brought to the attention of decision makers.
3. The Millennium Project is increasingly accepted as an honest and balanced source of information about global change.
Its input to the UN Millennium General Assembly has been sought by the US Mission to the UN, State of the World Forum, and NGO's Peoples Assembly. World Commission on Water in the 21st Century distributed the Project's water issue from the State of the Future and five members of the Planning Committee are on its 15 member global scenario panel.
4. A new Node was added in Tokyo.
5. The Project needs a public relations plan in
order to make the project and its products better known and get additional
sponsors to increase staff.
6. Nodes added people to the Global Lookout Panel, interviewed decision makers, and used the Project's materials in for government, university courses, workshops, and professional journals, books and newsletters, but need more support. Each Node chair should contact the UNESCO representative in their country and the Project's sponsors who have local offices.
7. The Project should build a page on its web site with password access for paid customized services/information.
8. A special committee was formed to help plan and promote the Millennium Symposium in Egypt with an eye to its moving to other Nodes during the year 2000 and possibly returning to Egypt again for the millennium at 2001.
Pavel Novacek chair of the Central European Node, and Ivan Klinec, chair of the sub-Node in Slovakia, proposed that the "Global Partnership for Sustainable Development" discussed previously in the Global Lookout Study to be on the scale of the "Marshall Plan." They suggested that the Millennium Project help initiate the first steps for this plan.
Norio Yamamoto, chair of the Tokyo node, presented the activities of Millennium Project's newest node. The first meeting of the Tokyo Node was held at Technova with Kikujiro Namba, President of Technova, Dr. Norio Yamamoto, Executive Director of the Global Infrastructure Fund Foundation and Research Director for Mitsubishi Research Institute, Dr. Kazuo Mizuta, Kyoto Sangyo University, Dr. Kazuyuki Hamada, President, Futurists Forum, Nori Funada, Senior Manager, Dentsu Institute of Human Studies, and Jerry Glenn (while in Japan to key note the National Institute of Science and Technology Policy's 10th Anniversary Conference).
Miguel Gutierrez, Chair of the South American Node presented the achievements and the plans of their node. Both the 1997 and 1998 State of the Future are now available in Spanish, compliments of the Government of Argentina, and can be accessed via the Internet at: http://global-latino.com.
Dr. Zhouying Jin, representing Rusong Wang, Chair of the Beijing Node read the report he had prepared. Four workshops and two meeting of the Node occurred in 1998. The Node will seek additional funding, will continue the research for MP, environmental security, editing and publishing the newsletter, and translating some of the Sate of the Futures reports into Chinese and distribute.
Nadezhda Gaponenko, Moscow node chair, presented last year's work and the plans for this year.
Mohsen Bahrami, the Tehran chair, began by mentioning that 85% of participants remained in the study from round to round.
Anadhavalli Mahadevan began by introducing the Madurai University and its Futures Studies PhD program. In India there is still confusion about understanding the difference between Futures Study and fortune telling (by reading palms and astrology). The Node organized a series of meetings called "Meet the Millennium" to identify and analyze issues and opportunities for India.
Bruce Lloyd, co-chair of the London Node is filling in for David Mercer who was unable to attend. David managed the Lookout study for the Node. Bruce noted that a leading UK futures effort of the "Tomorrow" project is concerned with the values of a consumer driven society.
The report was read by Jerry Glenn on behalf of the South Pacific Node. The members of the Node committee during 1998 were: Tom Beer (Chair), Paul Wildman (Treasurer), Jenny Gidley (Secretary), Barney Foran (CSIRO), Trudi Lang (Curtin University, Perth), Ian Ferguson (a management consultant in Brisbane), Neil Hamilton (ANU), Geoff Holland (representing the Futures Foundation), Marianne Bridgart (Foresight Institute, New Zealand).
Chairman Hassan Wageih Hassan was in Saudi Arabia and unable to attend.
Jerry reported on the Node and had visited it twice during the year to
follow-up on the prospects for the Project's "Millennium Symposium" January