Millennium Project

Millennium 3000 Study


The Millennium Project of the American Council for the United Nations University in cooperation with The Foundation for the Future  conducted a special study on collecting foreseeable factors that might significantly affect the future of humanity in the next 1000 years.  Those factors were rated by the panel of the first round of this study as to: a) how plausible it is that the factor will influence the human condition 1000 years from today; b) assuming that the factor does occur, how important its effect might be on the human condition; and c) ability of human intervention such as policy and/or funding to affect that factorís trajectory. Round 1 also asked about the factorís likely trajectory, benchmarks of its development, and some possible unexpected or low probability consequences. These views were used by the authors, Jerry Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon, to construct six draft scenario sketches to the year 3000.  The second and final questionnaire asked for participants' additions, edits, corrections, and comments on these scenarios. They were also asked to list a fundamentally important question or two that arises due to the scenario. The results are included in the State of the Future at the Millennium.

The Scenarios
 

Round 2

Questionnaire
The results and views of round 1 were used to construct draft scenario sketches to the year 3000. Six scenario sketches are enclosed in this round for further comments of the Millennium 3000 Panel:
Round 1
Questionnaire
The Millennium 3000 Panel rated the very long-range factors as to:
a) how plausible it is that the factor will influence the human condition 1000 years from today;
b) assuming that the factor does occur, how important its effect might be on the human condition; and
c) ability of human intervention such as policy and/or funding to affect that factorís trajectory.

Results of Round 1
Lists the results of the rating of the very long-range factors, along with commnts on factorsí likely trajectory, benchmarks of developments and some possible unexpected or low probability consequences.



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Foundation for the Future