The Real-Time Delphi (RTD) is a modern and efficient method for collecting and synthesizing expert opinions. The original multi-round Delphi technique was developed by the RAND Corporation in the late 1950s. Although it has produced many valuable insights for many around the world, it requires multiple rounds of questionnaires that can take months to complete. The key advantage of a Real-Time Delphi is that it is a “round-less” Delphi. The respondents participate by filling out an online questionnaire, and the results — both numerical and qualitative — are updated as responses are recorded in “real time.” Participants are encouraged to revisit the survey as often as they like. Each time, they see their own answers alongside the group’s evolving perspective, allowing them to revise and justify their inputs based on the collective feedback.

The Real-Time Delphi was pioneered and continuously improved by Ted Gordon. Over the years, The Millennium Project has utilized several platforms to conduct its vital research:

• the Real-Time Delphi website (the original RTD), developed by Ted Gordon
• the Global Futures Intelligence System
• the 4CF HalnyX – a 4th generation Real-Time Delphi platform

Today, The Millennium Project uses only the latest iteration of 4CF’s RTD system — 4CF HalnyX 2.0. This next-generation platform was designed from the ground up by seasoned Delphi practitioners in close cooperation with The Millennium Project. 4CF HalnyX 2.0 leverages the latest in web technology to offer an intuitive and engaging environment, architected to facilitate robust dialogue, reveal nuanced insights, and drive meaningful consensus with ease.

Learn more about 4CF HalnyX 2.0 or watch the short overview video below.

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