2003 State of the Future
by Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon
 
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all www millennium-project.org 

 

Table of Contents

... enclosed CD contains over 2,500 pages of research behind
this print edition, plus the Millennium Project's seven years of
cumulative research and methods.
 

Read the Executive Summary (PDF file): English, Spanish, French, Persian, Portuguese, or Japanese
 
 

I assure you that I and my colleagues at the United Nations find the State of the Future's annual guidance invaluable.                                                                                                              Michael Doyle, UN Assistant Secretary-General and
                                                                                                                                Special Advisor to UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan

 


Sustainable development is a concept that should be applied to decisions of all nations to the benefit of all people. It includes the right to and availability of safe water, energy, food, and health services. To achieve sustainable development, population and resources must be balanced by forward- looking, democratic governance. In turn, improved decisionmaking must be based on proper information and a new global sensitivity to ethics. Decisions that encourage sustainable development will work to counter terrorism and organized crime. Improved decisionmaking will help close the rich-poor gap, and support the changing role of women. Science and technology, properly managed, will benefit humanity. But we lack full understand of the complexities of the global situation at any time, the inter-relationships that determine the outcomes- expected and unexpected- of strategies at all levels.  The State of the Future (print and CD) is designed to promote understanding of what strategies and policies may be needed and their outcomes; it is designed to be used by policymakers and educators around the world.

2003 State of the Future is a unique resource for those who care about global change and improving the future. It provides an assessment of the human situation as a whole, prospects for the future, and actions for today. It is used by both those who need the most precise briefings and those who want the full research background. Each chapter in the book is an executive summary of more complete reports in the CD-ROM section of about 2,500 pages. As a result, it provides a common platform for global actors, educators, and the concerned public to use in building more coherent policy.

It is produced by the Millennium Project, which collects, feeds back, and assesses insights from creative and knowledgeable people on emerging crises, opportunities, strategic priorities, and the feasibility of actions. Over 1,500 futurists, business planners, scientists, scholars, and decisionmakers who work for international organizations, governments, private corporations, NGOs, and universities in more than 50 countries have contributed to this five-year cumulative research. Your feedback is welcome to improve the next State of the Future.
 

Paperback with CD-ROM. 100 pages print and about 2,500 pages CD-ROM
ISBN: 0-9722051-0-1
Library of Congress Control Number: 2003107816
Price: $49.95 US dollars plus shipping.   Discount 40% for orders over 10 copies.
(Payment by major credit cards or US dollars check or money order)

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Also available:

Chinese edition

Persian edition


Table of Contents
The 2003 State of the Future is composed of two parts: print and CD. The print book contains the executive summary of each of the studies conducted in 2002-2003. The enclosed CD of over 2,500 pages contains the cumulative work of the Millennium Project since 1996 and all the details of the studies included in this print section.

Table of Contents – Print Section

Table of Contents – CD
 

Table of Contents – Print Section
 

FOREWORD

Executive Summary - 1

1. Global Challenges  - 11

2.  State of the Future Index (SOFI)  - 41

3.  Future S&T Management Policy Issues––2025 Global Scenarios - 52

4.  Middle East Peace Scenarios Study - 79

5.  Emerging Environmental Security Issues - 87

Appendix - 89

Millennium Project Participants: General Demographics
Acronyms and Abbreviations - 91
 

Table of Contents – CD-ROM Section

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (11 pages)

1.  Global Challenges (about 450 pages)

2.  State of the Future Index (about 69 pages)

3. Science and Technology

3.1 Future S&T Management Policy Issues––2025 Global Scenarios
3.2 Management and Policy Implications for Future Science and Technology Issues (about 200 pages)
3.3 Future Issues of Science and Technology (79 pages)
4.  Middle East Peace Scenarios Study

5.  Global Goals for 2050 (about 19 pages)

6. Global Scenarios (84 pages)

6.1 Science and Technology 2025 Global Scenarios
6.2 Counterterrorism - Scenarios of Antiterrorism, Actions, And Policies (about 60 pages)
6.3 Normative Scenario to the Year 2050
6.4 Exploratory Scenarios 2025
6.5 Very Long-Range Scenarios (1000 years)
7. World leaders on Global Challenges (42 pages)

8. Measuring and Promoting Sustainable Development (44 pages)

9. Environmental Security (265 pages)

9.1 Emerging Environmental Security Issues
9.2 Environmental Security: Emerging International definitions, Perceptions, and Policy Considerations
9.3 Environmental Security: UN Doctrine for Managing Environmental Issues in Military Actions
9.4 Environmental Crimes in Military Actions and the International Criminal Court –– UN Perspectives
9.5 Environmental Security and Military Requirements
10. Factors Required for Successful Implementation of Futures Studies in Decisionmaking (50 pages)

Appendices

 Appendix A: Millennium Project Participants (list of names with affiliation and country)
 Appendix B: State of the Future Index
 Appendix C: Science and Technology
 Appendix D: Middle East Peace Scenarios Study
 Appendix E: Global Goals for 2050
 Appendix F: Global Scenarios
 Appendix G: World leaders on Global Challenges
 Appendix H: Measuring and Promoting Sustainable Development
 Appendix I: Environmental Security
 Appendix J: Factors Required for Successful Implementation of Futures Studies in Decisionmaking
 Appendix K: Annotated Bibliography of about 500 Scenario sets
 Appendix L: Publications of the Millennium Project
ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS


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