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Paperback with CD-ROM ... enclosed CD contains over 6,000 pages of research behind this print edition, plus the Millennium Project's eleven years of cumulative research and methods. ISBN: 0-9722051-6-0 Library of Congress Control Number: 98-646672 Price: $49.95 US dollars plus shipping Read the Executive Summary (PDF file) Azeri, Chinese, English, French, Persian, Russian, Spanish Press Release Order

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Table of Contents

 List of Figures and Boxes

 What is New in This Year’s Report

The State of the Future is an informative publication that gives invaluable insights into the future for the United Nations, its Member States, and civil society.
                              Ban Ki-moon, Secretary-General of the United Nations

The 15 Global Challenges updated annually continue to be the best introduction by far to the key issues of the early 21st century.
                            Michael Marien, editor, Future Survey

The State of the Future is a unique all encompassing outlook for future global trends and issues. It is both a bloody good read and a thought-provoking one.
                            Jérôme Bindé, Director of the Office of Foresight, UNESCO

This, the 11th edition of the State of the Future, continues the brilliant work over the last decade by the Millennium Project and continues the outstandingly high standards of past editions.
                            Ambassador John McDonald, President, Institute for Multi-Track Diplomacy

Everyone assessing long-term risk for decisionmaking or building policy needs a tool like the State of the Future report of the Millennium Project to inform and enrich global factors in building their scenarios.
                            William Cosgrove, President, Bureau d’Audiences Publiques sur l’Environnement, Quebec

The State of the Future wakes us up to the enormous scale of forced labor, and organized crime getting more money than all military budgets worldwide.
                            Roger Plant, Head of Special Action Programme to Combat Forced Labour, ILO

The State of the Future is a valuable overview of global change and its discussion of the future of educational possibilities has provided important ideas for our Ministry of Education.
                            Lee Young-tak, Chairman & CEO of the Korea Stock Exchange

Previous State of the Future reports are available in Arabic, Chinese, English, French, Korean, Persian, and Spanish. See http://www.millennium-project.org/millennium/issues.html

Eight of the last ten annual State of the Future reports were selected by Future Survey as among the year’s best books on the future.

This “Report Card on the Future” distills the collective intelligence of over 2,000 leading scientists, futurists, scholars, and policy advisors who work for governments, corporations, non-governmental organizations, universities, and international organizations. The 2007 State of the Future comes in two parts: a 99-page print executive summary and an attached CD containing about 6,000 pages of research behind the print edition and the Millennium Project’s 11 years of cumulative research and methods. Some unique features not available in other global assessments include:

• 15 Global Challenges – Prospects, Strategies, Insights
• education and learning possibilities to the year 2030
• State of the Future Index for the world and nations
• Environmental Security
• 700 Annotated Scenario Sets
• and much more futures intelligence on technology, environment, governance, and the human condition

It is produced by the Millennium Project, which collects, feeds back, and assesses insights from creative and knowledgeable people on emerging crises, opportunities, strategic priorities, and the feasibility of actions.

Paperback with CD-ROM. 99-page print and over 6,000 pages CD-ROM
ISBN: 0-9722051-6-0
Library of Congress Control Number: 98-646672
Price: $49.95 US dollars plus shipping.   Discount 40% for orders over 10 copies.
(Payment by major credit cards or US dollars check or money order)

Table of Contents

Table of Contents – Print Section

Table of Contents – CD

List of Figures and Boxes
 

Table of Contents – Print Section
 

Foreword

Acknowledgments

Executive Summary - 1

1. Global Challenges - 11

2. State of the Future Index - 43

3. Education and Learning 2030 - 53

4. Emerging Environmental Security Issues- 79

Appendix
Millennium Project Participants Demographics - 93

Acronyms and Abbreviations - 96

List of Figures and Boxes - 98

Table of Contents – CD-ROM Section

Executive Summary (10 pages)

1. Global Challenges (1,100 pages)

2. State of the Future Index Section
2.1 Global SOFI (286 pages)
2.2 National SOFIs (89 pages)
2.3 Global Challenges Assessment (94 pages)

3. Global Scenarios
3.1 Normative Scenario to the Year 2050 (21 pages)
3.2 Exploratory Scenarios (41 pages)
3.3 Very Long-Range Scenarios-1,000 years (23 pages)
3.4 Counterterrorism-Scenarios, Actions, and Policies (40 pages)
3.5 Science and Technology 2025 Global Scenarios (21 pages)
3.6 Global Energy Scenarios 2020 (103 pages)
3.7 Middle East Peace Scenarios (91 pages)

4. Science and Technology
4 .1 Future S&T Management and Policy Issues (400 pages)
4 .2 Nanotechnology: Future Military Environmental Health Considerations (21 pages)

5. Education and Learning 2030 (59 pages)

6. Future Ethical Issues (69 pages)

7. Global Goals for the Year 2050 (24 pages)

8. World Leaders on Global Challenges (42 pages)

9. Environmental Security
9.1 Emerging Environmental Security Issues (525 pages)
9.2 Environmental Security: Emerging International Definitions, Perceptions, and Policy Considerations (42 pages)
9.3 Environmental Security: UN Doctrine for Managing Environmental Issues in Military Actions (113 pages)
9.4 Environmental Crimes in Military Actions and the International Criminal Court (ICC)-UN Perspectives (31 pages)
9.5 Environmental Security and Potential Military Requirements (44 pages)

10. Measuring and Promoting Sustainable Development
10.1 Measuring Sustainable Development (61 pages)
10.2 Quality and Sustainability of Life Indicators (9 pages)
10.3 Partnership for Sustainable Development (49 pages)
10.4 A Marshal Plan for Haiti (12 pages)

10. Factors Required for Successful Implementation of Futures Research in Decisionmaking (55 pages)

Appendices
Appendix A: Millennium Project Participants
                    (list of names with affiliation and country)
Appendix B: State of the Future Index Section
Appendix C: Global Scenarios
Appendix D: Science and Technology
Appendix E: Education and Learning 2030
Appendix F: Global Ethics
Appendix G: Global Goals for The Year 2050
Appendix H: World Leaders on Global Challenges
Appendix I: Environmental Security Studies
Appendix J: Measuring and Promoting Sustainable Development
Appendix K: Factors Required for Successful Implementation of Futures Research in Decisionmaking
Appendix L: Real Time Delphi Process
Appendix M: Annotated Bibliography of about 700 Scenarios Sets
Appendix N: Other Annotated Bibliographies
                    Ethics Related Organizations
                    Global Energy Scenarios and Related Research
                    Women/Gender Organizations
Appendix O: Reflections on the Tenth Anniversary of the State of the Future and the Millennium Project
Appendix P: Publications of the Millennium Project

Acronyms and Abbreviations

List of Figures and Boxes

Figures

Figure 1. SOFI 2007
Figure 2. Global Surface Temperature Anomalies (0C)
Figure 3. Population Lacking Access to Improved Water Sources (percentage of population)
Figure 4. Food Availability (calories per capita)
Figure 5. Global Trends in Freedom
Figure 6. Regional Internet Population Growth
Figure 7. Share of People Living on Less than $1.08 a Day (%)
Figure 8. Physicians (density per 1,000 population)
Figure 9. Growth of International Organizations (NGOs and IGOs)
Figure 10. Global Trends in Armed Conflict, 1946-2006
Figure 11. Women in National Parliaments (percentage)
Figure 12. World Illicit Trade
Figure 13. World Total Primary Energy Supply
Figure 14. Estimated R&D Expenditures (percentage of GDP) in OECD and Cooperating Non-member Countries
Figure 15. Global Challenges and SOFI Process
Figure 16. SOFI 2007
Figure 17. SOFI 2007 with Trend Impact Analysis
Figure 18. Comparison of 2005 and 2007 SOFIs
Figure 19. Trends of Moral, Physical, Security, Health, Intellectual, and Wealth Expectations
Figure 20. Countries’ Non-adjusted SOFI Absolute Values
Figure 21. Turkey SOFI
Figure 22. Comparison of Relative SOFIs for South Korea using Global and South Korean Normalization Values
Figure 23. Likelihood of Education Possibilities, 2030
Figure 24. HadGEM1 A1B Temperature Difference between 2070–2100 and 1961–1990
Figure 25. Number of Parties to Multilateral Environmental Agreements, 1975–2007
Figure 26. Ratifications of 14 Multilateral Environmental Agreements, by UNEP GEO Region, as of December 2006
Figure 27. Participants in the 2006–07 Program
Figure 28. Participants Since 1996

Boxes

Box 1. Where Is Humanity Winning and Losing
Box 2. SOFI Variables
Box 3. Possibilities Influencing Education by 2030
Box 4. Some Environmental Agreements or Laws Recently Adopted, Strengthened, in Negotiation, or Proposed

What Is New in This Year’s Report

• Both the short and long versions of the 15 Global Challenges were updated.
• The State of the Future Index was reviewed using a Real Time Delphi, variables were reassessed, and improvements were made. Nationl SOFIs for Turkey and the Republic of Korea were computed, and the process of comparing national SOFIs is being perfected.
• The Education and Learning 2030 study presented in Chapter 3 is a distillation of the views of more than 200 participants from around the world. It presents 19 possibilities that could influence future education and learning by the year 2030.
• The Real Time Delphi process for collecting expert opinions was further developed and used in the Education and Learning 2030 study, in the process of improving the SOFI, and in assessing Millennium Project priorities and improving decisionmaking; it is available in Appendix L on the CD.
• More than 200 items related to environmental security were identified, assessed, and organized over the past year. A distilled version is presented in Chapter 4 and the full text of all the 700 items identified since 2002 is available in CD Chapter 9.1.
• Descriptions of about 50 scenarios were added to the Annotated Scenarios Bibliography on the CD, for a total of over 700 scenarios and scenario sets.
• The CD includes details and research that support the print version; it also includes the complete text of previous Millennium Project works:
  • Global exploratory, normative, and very-long range scenarios, along with an introduction describing their development.
  • Three Middle East Peace scenarios based on a three-round Delphi study.
  • Science and Technology scenarios and the two-year supporting study.
  • Four Global Energy Scenarios and supporting study.
  • An analysis of the statements by world leaders delivered at the UN Millennium Summit in 2000.
  • Environmental security definitions, threats, related treaties; UN military doctrine on environmental issues; potential military environmental crimes and the International Criminal Court; changing environmental security military requirements in 2010–25.
  • Two studies to create indexes and maps of the status of sustainable development, conducted by the Millennium Project participants, and an international review of the concept of creating a “Partnership for Sustainable Development,” a study initiated by the Central European Node.
  • Study of factors required for successful implementation of futures research in decisionmaking.

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