Futures Research Methodology — Version 3.0
Editors: Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon
- CD-ROM: 1300 pages
- Publisher: The Millennium Project; 3.0 edition (April 30, 2009)
- Language: English
- ISBN-10: 0981894119
- ISBN-13: 978-0981894119
- Downloadable or CD-ROM
The largest, most comprehensive collection of internationally peer-reviewed handbook on methods and tools to explore future possibilities ever assembled in one resource.
Over half of the chapters were written by the inventor of the method or by a significant contributor to the method’s evolution.
The electronic download- contains 39 chapters totaling about 1,300 pages. Each method is treated in a separate file in word (.doc) and PDF format.
The series begins with an introductory chapter to futures research and concludes with a synthesis of methods and speculation about the future of futures research methods. The other 37 chapters cover one specific method (e.g. Futures Wheel, Scenarios) or category of methods (e.g. Systems Perspectives, Normative Forecasting).
Each of the 37 chapters contains:
- an executive overview of each method’s history,
- description of the method
- primary and alternative usages,
- strengths and weaknesses,
- uses in combination with other methods, and
- speculation about future evolution of the method.
- Some also contain appendixes with applications, links to software, and sources for further information.
Version 3.0 has not only added new chapters, it has also updated and improved the editing of the previous chapters making this version a significant improvement on the previous one.
Electronic Edition
(downloadable zip file)
Price: $49.50 US dollars
CD Edition
Price: $49.50 US dollars + shipping
FRM 3.0 Table of Contents
1. Introduction to Futures Research
Jerome C. Glenn
2. Environmental Scanning
Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn
3. Text Mining for Technology Foresight
Alan L. Porter
4. Delphi
Theodore J. Gordon
5. Real-Time Delphi
Theodore J. Gordon
6. The Futures Wheel
Jerome C. Glenn
7. The Futures Polygon
Antonio Pacinelli
8. Trend Impact Analysis
Theodore J. Gordon
9. Cross-Impact Analysis
Theodore J. Gordon
10. Wild Cards
John Petersen and Karlheintz Steinmueller
11. Structural Analysis
Jacques Arcade, Michel Godet, Francis Meunier, Fabrice Roubelat
12. The Systems Perspectives
Allenna Leonard with Stafford Beer
13. Decision Modeling
The Futures Group International
14. Substitution Analysis
Theodore J. Gordon
15. Statistical Modeling
Antonio Pacinelli
16. Technology Sequence Analysis
Theodore J. Gordon
17. Morphological Analysis
Tom Ritchey
18. Relevance Trees
The Futures Group International and Theodore J. Gordon
19. Scenarios
Jerome C. Glenn and The Futures Group International
20. A Toolbox for Scenario Planning
Michel Godet
21. Interactive Scenarios
Theodore J. Gordon
22. Robust Decisionmaking
Robert Lempert, Steven Popper, Steve Bankes (RAND Corporation)
23. Participatory Methods
Jerome C. Glenn
24. Simulation and Games
Erwin Rausch with additions from Frank Catanzaro
25. Genius Forecasting, Intuition, and Vision
Jerome C. Glenn
26. Prediction Markets
Justin Wolfers and Justin Zitzewitz
27. Using Vision in Futures
Clem Bezold
28. Normative Forecasting
Joe Coates and Jerome C. Glenn
29. S&T Road Mapping
Theodore J. Gordon
30. Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR)
Geoffrey R. Coyle
31. Agent Modeling (demo software)
Theodore J. Gordon
32. Chaos and Non-Linear Dynamics
Theodore Gordon
33. Multiple Perspective Concept
Harold Linstone
34. Heuristics Modeling
Sam Cole
35. Causal Layered Analysis
Sohail Inayatullah
36. Personal Futures
Verne Wheelwright
37. State of the Future Index
Theodore J. Gordon
38. SOFI Software System
Peter Yim
39. Integration, Comparisons, and Frontiers of Futures Research Methods
Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn