The largest, most comprehensive collection of internationally peer-reviewed handbook on methods and tools to explore future possibilities ever assembled in one resource.
Over half of the chapters were written by the inventor of the method or by a significant contributor to the method’s evolution.
The electronic download- contains 39 chapters totaling about 1,300 pages. Each method is treated in a separate file in word (.doc) and PDF format.
The series begins with an introductory chapter to futures research and concludes with a synthesis of methods and speculation about the future of futures research methods. The other 37 chapters cover one specific method (e.g. Futures Wheel, Scenarios) or category of methods (e.g. Systems Perspectives, Normative Forecasting).
Each of the 37 chapters contains:
- an executive overview of each method’s history,
- description of the method
- primary and alternative usages,
- strengths and weaknesses,
- uses in combination with other methods, and
- speculation about future evolution of the method.
- Some also contain appendixes with applications, links to software, and sources for further information.
Version 3.0 has not only added new chapters, it has also updated and improved the editing of the previous chapters making this version a significant improvement on the previous one.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Introduction to Futures Research, Jerome C. Glenn
2. Environmental Scanning, Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn
3. Text Mining for Technology Foresight, Alan L. Porter
4. Delphi, Theodore J. Gordon
5. Real-Time Delphi, Theodore J. Gordon
6. The Futures Wheel, Jerome C. Glenn
7. The Futures Polygon, Antonio Pacinelli
8. Trend Impact Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon
9. Cross-Impact Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon
10. Wild Cards, John Petersen and Karlheintz Steinmueller
11. Structural Analysis, Jacques Arcade, Michel Godet, Francis Meunier, Fabrice Roubelat
12. The Systems Perspectives, Allenna Leonard with Stafford Beer
13. Decision Modeling, The Futures Group International
14. Substitution Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon
15. Statistical Modeling, Antonio Pacinelli
16. Technology Sequence Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon
17. Morphological Analysis, Tom Ritchey
18. Relevance Trees, The Futures Group International and Theodore J. Gordon
19. Scenarios, Jerome C. Glenn and The Futures Group International
20. A Toolbox for Scenario Planning, Michel Godet
21. Interactive Scenarios, Theodore J. Gordon
22. Robust Decisionmaking, Robert Lempert, Steven Popper, Steve Bankes (RAND Corporation)
23. Participatory Methods, Jerome C. Glenn
24. Simulation and Games, Erwin Rausch with additions from Frank Catanzaro
25. Genius Forecasting, Intuition, and Vision, Jerome C. Glenn
26. Prediction Markets, Justin Wolfers and Justin Zitzewitz
27. Using Vision in Futures, Clem Bezold
28. Normative Forecasting, Joe Coates and Jerome C. Glenn
29. S&T Road Mapping, Theodore J. Gordon
30. Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR), Geoffrey R. Coyle
31. Agent Modeling (demo software), Theodore J. Gordon
32. Chaos and Non-Linear Dynamics, Theodore Gordon
33. Multiple Perspective Concept, Harold Linstone
34. Heuristics Modeling, Sam Cole
35. Causal Layered Analysis, Sohail Inayatullah
36. Personal Futures, Verne Wheelwright
37.State of the Future Index, Theodore J. Gordon
38. SOFI Software System, Peter Yim
39. Integration, Comparisons, and Frontiers of Futures Research Methods, Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn