World Futures Day 2021 – 24-Hour Round-the-World Conversion on the Future
- Posted by JGlenn
- On 6 February 2020
- 0 Comments
The Millennium Project’s 8th World Future Day in cooperation with the Association of Professional Futurists (APF), Humanity+, UNESCO’s Global Futures Literacy Network, the World Academy of Art and Science (WAAS), and the World Futures Studies Federation (WFSF) was a richly diverse global conversation about our global future.
The WFD began in Aotearoa New Zealand with a Māori blessing and moved each hour westward, ending 24 hours later, just west of Hawaii with toasts of wine, and good cheer for all. One participant said that she felt she had “walked into heaven,” referring to the breath, depth, integrity, civility of the conversation among total strangers from around the world that ranged from how quantum computing will overrule computer security systems to why Futurists should include indigenous people’s long-term concepts and why the arts will be critical to cultural change for better future.
We estimate this unique, open, no-agenda global conversation included nearly 1,000 people* on the interactive zoom call (we did not have an observing audience on social media; maybe next year). We had two stars during the New York 12 noon time: Vint Cerf, Internet Pioneer and Ted Gordon, Futures Research Pioneer sharing their insights from their extraordinary careers.
Facilitators for each hour (from The Millennium Project and the other co-sponsoring organizations) are sending their notes on their hour to Mara Di Berardo (Co-Chair for MP Italy Node) who, together with Brock Hinzmann (Chair for the MP Silicon Valley Node) will write a several page distillation of key insights. And Paul Epping (Co-Chair for the MP Dubai Node and whose Zoom we used) is exploring the idea of producing a participatory book on the World Future Day’s insights on ways to improve the future.
So, Happy World Futures Day! It was a great success.
Here are some comments from last year’s World Future Day 2020:
“Thoroughly enjoyable – thanks for the invitation!” – Vint Cerf, USA
“It was so great to hear such diverse and deep perspectives from some incredible minds – lots of food for thought and ideas for future action.” —Kelli McCluskey, New Zealand
“I have had a terrific time yesterday during the world future day.” Mara, Italy
To Summarize or give key insights on this extremely diverse 24-hour conversation on the future with hundreds of futurists and others is impossible to do objectively…. but here’s some of it:
Disinformation, deep fakes, and information warfare:
- Teach critical thinking throughout the education system; train people to evaluate what they see
- Improve systems and create incentives for strong authentication/identification to validate information sources.
- Since disinformation is believed that matches one’s worldview, opening thought about worldviews is needed; science is the best approximation we have of reality; promote citizen science
- Use predictive analytics with massive databanks of disinformation list potential actions to counter before they happen
- If harm results from disinformation, there should be consequences;
- Metrics are needed to know how balance the loss of information, fragmentation of knowledge (filters) with needs to delete damaging information for public safety.
- Much can be done without government, but international agreements are needed to define norms that guide behavior; the ITU is an intergovernmental example while the Global Commission on the Stability of Cyberspace is public-private example.
The Internet has been closed down over 200 times during 2019 in various locations around the world (mostly in Asia), new parallel or alternative systems could fragment the Internet, but Vint Cerf confirmed that the Internet is technically viable even with vast new increasing bandwidth demand.
- It will be hard to escape the internet with the advent of 5G implementations.
- There could be more cost to sustain for connecting as we improve technology.
- We need rules about the responsibilities for our personal AI/Avatar or digital twin after we die? What if it commits a cybercrime or makes a fortune?
- Although the digital divide is closing, the divide in usage/application (AI, etc.) is widening.
Climate change is more a cultural problem than a technical one, we many ways to address this what is lacking is the will and global collaboration to act. Arts can change culture and public will. A key variable in The Millennium Project Work/Technology 2050 scenario 3 was collaboration with writers of music, movies, and TV. If Al Gore got an academy award for a PowerPoint presentation on global warming, what could collaborative talent do in Hollywood?
Show videos of respectful discussions within diverse families learning from those disagree with, instead of only parliament disrespectful debate without listening.
We are not taught to collaborate with different people and ideas.
It is easier to imagine better future appliances than it is to imagine better future humans. Star Trek shows all kinds of improved technology, but little improvement among humans.
New Zealand’s Festival for the Future (next one is 24-26 in Wellington) explores global challenges with CEO’s, entrepreneurs, students, and 1,200+ delegates from across the Asia–Pacific.
Australia seawater coastline agriculture could get money from cap and trade. One of its output is to algae, which can be feedstock for cell-based pure meat. This puts three counter global warming strategies in to one strategy: salt water agriculture; meat without animals; and cap and trade.
Under a Green Sky long-range global warming that could lead to next species extinction. Another organization looking such strategic risks is the Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and the Lifeboat Foundation. The next TransVision Conference Madrid October 16-19, 2020
Quantum computing may change our 0 – 1 thinking; binary, black/white simplistic thinking – Jim Disbrow; instead of individualism vs. collectivism in climate change actions thin both/and;
Tiny Revolutions in New Zealand uses the 15 Global Challenges as a framework to engage group of “artists, industry experts, activists and members of the public” to come up with and implement “bite-sized actions that pack a societal punch.” Kickstarter and future similar platforms are new ways to get support for new projects.
Iranian Futurist Ahmad Mahdeyan shared a study of futurists per capita around the world.
News broadcasts the worse human behavior every day; most science fiction shows negative futures. So Learning Mind posts seven optimistic scenarios. Singularity University also shares optimist views. The Millennium Project’s 2050 Work/Tech Future Work/Technology 2050 Scenario 3: If Humans Were Free – the Self-Actualization Economy is also a positive view.
The Future Evolution of the Conscious Mind Dialogue between Thomas Lombardo and Victor V. Motti talk about Future Consciousness by Tom Lombardo. Also cognitive psychologist Donald D. Hoffman developed and combined two theories: “multimodal user interface” theory of perception and “conscious realism” that the physical world is not objective but is an epiphenomenon caused by consciousness. Other podcasts of Distant Futures of Everything Podcasts by Victor V. Motti
Ikigai is Japanese concept being with satisfaction, happiness & meaning to life as illustrated below:
City Resilience Program is a partnership between the World Bank and the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery for city scale resilience to natural and social disasters. https://www.gfdrr.org/en/crp. The Rockefeller Foundation also the 100 Resilient Cities program.
Library of Global solutionswww.globalregenerationinstitute.com
Since the sun could one day have disturbances big enough to destroy us, or collision with a large enough asteroid, or Hydrogen Sulfide emissions from future changing ocean conditions, or other species threats, it would be wise to let those who want to migrate beyond earth to do so. Human curiosity will take us beyond the solar system. Just as we would not know what you are capable of when you were a zygote totally dependent on your Mother, we might know what humanity is capable of until it gets out of its decency on the Sun and matures into exo-Solar space.
The Earth’s magnetic field that protects us from most of the solar radiation is weakening (separate from the usual weakening before polar magnetic shifts) but seems the Sun and Earth are entangled so that as a big flare occurs, the shape of the field changes that protects us.
Prospect Theory (a solution for applying design of experiments in Economics)
Mark Sackler’s podcasts on the future
Zebras Unite is a global network of entrepreneurs, funders, investors, and allies who are calling for a more ethical, inclusive, collaborative, distributed, and sustainable movement to transform prevailing startup and venture capital culture. Another group explore new approached to capital is Future Capital
30 visions for sustainability organized by Heiner Benking
Martin Kruse – Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies report on financial investments for climate change for the Innovation Fund
Paul Werbos not only warned about the need for governance of future possible AGI but also ANI (NIST new standards for AI). ANI such as autonomous weapons and stock market algorithms could lead to disasters. We have to get design system issues and regulations right and soon. Australian is inviting public comments on these AI issues.
Lucas Pitangueira: Imagine a social network focused on problem solving, forum style, with all kinds of topics people could collaborate on from big topics like economy and climate to small topics like fixing the holes in a street on your town. I just had this insight listening to our conversation. I would like to make that happen, with the help of a group of people who would like to share that vision. On a global scale, that is developing now in the Global Futures Research System.
Some unsolicited comments from 2019’s participants:
- Very inspired by the brilliant and passionate people working in foresight. Phenomenal hearts and minds working globally for our common humanity. Oriana Beaudet, VP, Healthcare Transformation, Array Advisors, Minneapolis-St Paul, USA
- Amazing people, brilliant insights. Provocative, inspiring. Happiest world future day! Thanks much! Shermon Cruz, Executive Director, Center for Engaged Foresight, Manila, Philippines
- Loved it! – Mark Sackler Host “Seeking Delphi” CT, USA
- Great experience. Thank you!! — Asanga Abeyagoonasekera, Director General, Institute of National Security Studies, Colombo, Sri Lanka
- Great experience! What beautiful people! Mila Popovich, World Academy of Art and Science, Denver, USA